A Simplistic Perspective about the Catastrophe of The Great Depression (1929-1941)
——By Dr. N. Pakshi Rajan (石室中学剑桥国际高中课程中心经济学老师)
Eight decades ago, millions of Americans felt the pinch - the wealthy
buried their money, banks had no liquidity, and heavy customs barriers
were put up while imports were stopped. Businesses went bankrupt,
workers were sent home, and eventually one in every four workers was
unemployed as disposable income dropped 28%, while the tax rate reached
91%. The stock market crashed and hit rock bottom as the US Government
did not have a single policy in action that was either useless or made
matters even worse. These calamities are the core characteristics of the
Great Depression.
Over the years, many textbooks and economists
have critiqued the fiasco of laissez -fair capitalism and the unchecked
free market economy as the core causes of the Great Depression. As a
result, they argue that the only way to put the American economy back on
path was to introduce government intervention. Specifically, the
central ideas of Keynesian economics is that active government
regulation in the free market, centralizing the monetary policy, and
controlling government spending, the money supply, and taxation would
ensure not only economic growth, but economic stability.
The Great
Depression was by far the longest economic depression experienced by
the United States, lasting over 3 times longer than the previous
downturn. The US economy broke down during the presidency of Herbert
Hoover, and can be attributed to many of the following factors.
The Wall Street Crash of 1929 and ineffective monetary policy:
By far the single largest contributor to the Great Depression was a
manipulation of the stock market through marginal lending - the practice
of borrowing money to buy stocks. Coupled with the loose regulation of
marginal requirements, which controls the share of the purchase that
must be made in cash, marginal lending led to a very high risk
investment. In other words, complete mismanagement of the money and
credit markets.
An ordinary recession engulfed the American
economy during the summer of 1929. It had been observed that a drop in
consumer spending occurred as the stock market continued its climb,
which is also known as a "bull market". Preferably, under normal
conditions, a bull market, falling prices eventually lead to a slowdown,
known as a "bear market". As prices fell along with investor
confidence, shares were sold en masse to avoid capital loss.
By
October 23rd, 1920, 6 million shares had changed hands in a mass
selloff, and the stock market bubble burst. Adding fuel to the fire was
speculation across Wall Street that a further fall in share prices would
hit even harder the next day. The day now known as "Black Thursday"
experienced a record of 12.9 million shares being traded. Thousands of
investors who relied on marginal trading with borrowed money saw their
assets completely wiped out as their shares were now worthless. Among
the biggest losers were wealthy celebrities, Winston Churchill, Clarence
Bridseye, who developed the first packaged frozen foods, and William C.
Durant, the founder of General Motors.
Bank Closures Deepened the Great Depression:
As stocks took a beating, consumer confidence vanished, investments
came to a standstill, production slowed, and wages fell drastically for
those who weren't even worse, the banking panic erupted. A large number
of depositors lost confidence in the solvency of their banks, which had
invested large portions of their savings in the stock market. As a
result of the fear of losing their savings and other liquid assets,
customs rushed to the banks to withdraw all their cash and deposits.
These massive withdrawals, investment losses, and increasing non-
performing loans left banks with insufficient cash reserve. By early
1933, over 1000 banks had shut down, and nearly 4000 were suspended.
President Hoover attempted to stem the situation by supporting failing
banks with government loans, hoping that banks would provide loans to
businesses which would in turn hire employees back.
Severe Drought and the Dust Bowl:
In 1930, a severe drought and strong winds, lasting 4 years, eroded
the fine soil of the Great Plains. Known as the"Dust Bowl", huge dust
storms caused major damage to the heart of American agriculture. The
driest regions included southeast Colarado, southwest Kansas, the
panhandles of Oklahoma, and Texas. Later, most of the country felt the
effects of the Dust Bowl. By 1932, 14 dust storms were recorded, and in
1934, 38 more had hit the plains.
The severe dust storms destroyed
everything in their paths, leaving farmers without any crops. They were
not only unable to feed their families, but debts could not be repaid,
and small farms were faced with foreclosure from banks and lenders.
People stayed in a shantytowns known as ("Hoovervilles") outside town.
Housing in these shantytowns was built from any materials that could be
scavenged, including driftwood, cardboard, and even newspaper. Newspaper
became known as "Hoover Blankets", while broken down automobiles now
pulled by horses became known as "Hoover Wagons". Many residents of
Kansas and Oklahoma fell ill and lost their lives to dust pneumonia or
malnutrition.
Birth of the New Deal:
Frankin D. Roosevelt took the helm of presidency after defeating
Hoover in the election of 1932. His recovery pledged to help the
"forgotten man at the bottom of the economic pyramid". In President
Roosevelt's inaugural address, he asserted optimism - "the only thing
that we have to fear is fear itself", and raised the hopes of millions
of Americans who depended on the president to solve their woes. Before
enacting the New Deal programs, Hoover ordered a 4 day holiday for all
banks to induce stability.
Some of the most prominent New Deal Programs were:
The Agricultural Adjustment Act (AAA): Its
purpose was to reduce crop surpluses by giving farmers subsidies to not
plant excess crops and to kill off excess livestock. This would in turn
raise the value of crops.
The Civilian Conservation Corps (CCC): Encompassing everything from transportation infrastructure to bridges
and vegetation coverings to mosquito control, this was a series of
public work relief programs for unemployed youth between the ages of 18
and 25. It provided jobs for both skilled and unskilled laborers,
lasting from 1933 to 1942. In these 9 years, 2.5 million young men
participated in CCC.
The Work Progress Administration (WPA): This
was a public works project that predominately involved the construction
of public buildings and roads. The WPA provided 8 million jobs between
1935 and 1943, ending on June 30, 1943 due to low unemployment.
Emergency Banking Act (EBA): This
act allowed only Federal Reserve approved banks to operate in the
United States of America. This act was miraculously passed in favor by
most legislators who had not even read it, as only a single copy was
available on the floor. The Federal Reserve, a central banking agency,
committed to supply currency, reopened viable banks, and regulated the
banking system in order to restore depositor confidence.
Farm Credit act (FCA): The FCA provided direct loans for agriculture purposes, and opened banks to serve the agricultural sectors.
Social Security Act (SSA): Then
the United States was the only industrialized country in the world
without social security. The congress enacted the Social Security Act of
1935 to provide pensions to the aging and retired, benefit payments to
dependent mothers and the handicapped, and also provided limited
unemployment insurance.
Abandoning the Gold Standard: Under the gold standard, the money supply was limited to equal the
total amount of gold held by the United States. FDR took the US Dollar
off the gold standard, which devalued it by 40%, but allowed for greater
liquidity and growth. The removal of Gold Standard and its efforts on
the economy are still debated today.
Finally, America entered a
period of rapid industrialization, urbanization and economic growth as
it begins to participate in World War II.